EARLY WARNING SIGNALS OF MILITARY COUPS
A Case Study of Montenegro
The following paper focuses on the identification of basic early warning signals of military coups. The primary purpose is to use a theoretical framework of coups and create a list of factors that increase the probability of upcoming or ongoing military coups. This list will be applied to a case study of Montenegro, which recently experienced an attempt of overthrowing its government.
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This paper was written as part of the research project SIVARBAL (Proposal of the system of indicators of early warning for possible crisis situations in the Balkans), funded by the Defence Research Programme of the Ministry of Defence of the Czech Republic.
Keywords
Early Warning System; Security Indicators; Military Coup; Montenegro; Violence; Prediction.
Title in English: | EARLY WARNING SIGNALS OF MILITARY COUPS |
Title in Czech: | INDIKÁTORY A SYSTÉMY VČASNÉHO VAROVÁNÍ PŘED VOJENSKÝM PUČEM |
Type: | Article |
Author(s): | Josef KRAUS |
Language: | English |
Abstract: | English/Czech |
Journal: | |
Publisher: | |
ISSN: | ISSN 1214-6463 (print) and ISSN 1802-7199 (on-line) |
DOI: | 10.3849/1802-7199.20.2020.01.025-038 |
Issue: | Volume 20, Number 1 (June 2020) |
Pages: | 025-038 |
Received: | 31.03.2020 |
Accepted: | 09.04.2020 |
Published online: | 15.06.2020 |
Discussion
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