doi:10.3849/1802-7199

EARLY WARNING SIGNALS OF MILITARY COUPS

A Case Study of Montenegro

Josef KRAUS

The following paper focuses on the identification of basic early warning signals of military coups. The primary purpose is to use a theoretical framework of coups and create a list of factors that increase the probability of upcoming or ongoing military coups. This list will be applied to a case study of Montenegro, which recently experienced an attempt of overthrowing its government.

Acknowledgements

This paper was written as part of the research project SIVARBAL (Proposal of the system of indicators of early warning for possible crisis situations in the Balkans), funded by the Defence Research Programme of the Ministry of Defence of the Czech Republic.

Keywords

Early Warning System; Security Indicators; Military Coup; Montenegro; Violence; Prediction.


Title in English:

EARLY WARNING SIGNALS OF MILITARY COUPS
A Case Study of Montenegro

Title in Czech:

INDIKÁTORY A SYSTÉMY VČASNÉHO VAROVÁNÍ PŘED VOJENSKÝM PUČEM
Případová studie Černé Hory

Type:

Article

Author(s):

Josef KRAUS

Language:

English

Abstract:

English/Czech

Journal:

Obrana a strategie

Publisher:

University of Defence

ISSN:

ISSN 1214-6463 (print) and ISSN 1802-7199 (on-line)

DOI:

10.3849/1802-7199.20.2020.01.025-038

Issue:

Volume 20, Number 1 (June 2020)

Pages:

025-038

Received:

31.03.2020

Accepted:

09.04.2020

Published online:

15.06.2020

Created 15.6.2020 15:09:07 | read 505x | Frank

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