TAKING A SNAPSHOT
Discovering Escalation Prone Countries Through Structural Conditions and QCA
Kateřina FRIDRICHOVÁ, Adriana ILAVSKÁ
This paper introduces a method of conflict escalation prediction based on long-term structural conditions, drawn from open sources, and QCA (Qualitative Comparative analysis). The combination of the two components offers a model of prediction, which is comparable to other more sophisticated and resourced systems. Moreover, it offers a more sensitive estimation of an escalation.
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The research was supported by the project VI20172020094 - Metodika predikce, včasného varování a prevence hrozeb plynoucích z regionálních ozbrojených konfliktů pro vnitřní bezpečnost ČR. The paper was written using a dataset further authors of which include prof. PhDr. Zdeněk Kříž, Ph.D., Mgr. Martin Chovančík, Ph.D., Mgr. Jana Urbanovská, Ph.D., Mgr. Hana Votradovcová, and Mgr. et Mgr. Vladimír Bízik.
Keywords
Prediction; Conflict Escalation; Structural Conditions; Early Warning; csQCA.
Title in English: | TAKING A SNAPSHOT |
Title in Czech: | MOMENTKA |
Type: | Article |
Author(s): | Kateřina FRIDRICHOVÁ, Adriana ILAVSKÁ |
Language: | English |
Abstract: | English/Czech |
Journal: | |
Publisher: | |
ISSN: | ISSN 1214-6463 (print) and ISSN 1802-7199 (online) |
DOI: | 10.3849/1802-7199.20.2020.02.005-022 |
Issue: | Volume 20, Number 2 (December 2020) |
Pages: | 005-022 |
Received: | 29.09.2020 |
Accepted: | 16.11.2020 |
Published online: | 16.12.2020 |